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March 29, 2007

Sensing Trouble - Part II

In our last posting, we highlighted local Republican concern over the party's Harris County prospects in 2008. Countywide Democratic candidates have been closing the overall vote gap with the GOP over the last few cycles, almost in spite of themselves, and next year's presidential election may threaten the one-party Republican dominance of Harris County that has existed since 1994.

As a new piece on Politico.com points out, apparently GOP fears are not limited to Harris County. The article's title -- "Republicans Fear 2008 Meltdown" -- says it all. A lackluster presidential field, an administration saddled with an unpopular war and beset by scandal, and historical trends all work against the party's 2008 hopes.

Speaking of scandal, shortly before the 2004 presidential election, Washington Monthly ran a compilation of essays answering the question "What If Bush Wins?" It is interesting to reread these offerings, from a variety of perspectives, with some 2 1/2 years of hindsight. One entry stands out.

In September 2004, Washington Monthly writer (and blogger) Kevin Drum characterized a second George W. Bush term with one word - scandal. Prescient commentary, indeed.

Posted by houtopia at March 29, 2007 12:33 AM