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August 23, 2007

New Pew Poll

As the dog days of summer roll on, so does the endless coverage and handicapping of the presidential race. Barbs are thrown back and forth, statements are taken out of context, and each candidate's history (public and private) is mined by opposing campaigns and the press. Still, we have a long way to go before anybody votes -- although at the rate certain states are moving up their dates, the nominations could be decided before the end of the year.

The Pew Research Center has taken its August snapshot of several major candidates from both parties in a new poll released today, with some interesting results.

Not surprisingly, Hillary Clinton posts the strongest favorability ratings of any candidate among members of her own party. Her numbers with non-Democrats, however, are the worst of any candidate tested. Conversely, Rudy Giuliani garners less enthusiasm from Republicans, but has the highest favorables of any candidate among voters not of his own political party. Rudy's numbers among Independents and Democrats have eroded significantly from just a year ago, suggesting that the more folks learn about "America's Mayor", the less favorably they are likely to view him.

For us, an interesting trend to watch will be whether or not Hillary Clinton can begin to improve her standing with non-Democrats, particularly Indpendents. Republicans have firmly held views about Senator Clinton, and are not likely to change much, but doing well with Independents will be critical for either nominee to win the presidency.

Equally interesting to see will be if Giuliani's downward trend among non-Republicans continues, or if he will stabilize after coming down from an artificially high level. And how will Fred Thompson fare, once he enters the race is subjected to the same scrutiny as the other candidates? (We think Fred's due for a major market correction, but we'll see.)

More entertainment to come for the politically wretched.

Posted by houtopia at August 23, 2007 09:09 PM

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