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November 13, 2007
Team Rudy's Unconventional Approach
Another great blog post earlier today from WaPo's Dan Balz.
In this entry, Balz visits the Giuliani campaign's notion that it is possible for them to lose the first three GOP primary contests -- in Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan -- and remain viable heading into the bigger state prizes beginning on January 29th in Florida.
It is interesting spin to be sure, but not entirely convincing. As sources quoted in the article point out, momentum is important in politics. In our judgment, if Rudy loses the first three contests, it may well threaten his current perceived advantages in subsequent states, though if early wins are split among other contenders, he won't be hurt as much.
The piece notes that Team Rudy, by floating the notion of winning the prize in spite of key early losses, may be deliberatley lowering expectations only to ultimately beat them. If so, it's a calculated gamble, but not one without potential upside.
Of course, if stories like this one keep surfacing, Rudy may not turn out to be viable at all. And what a shame that would be.
Posted by houtopia at November 13, 2007 11:01 PM